A few points of clarification from the show. Fordo is the nuclear facility in which Iran is believed to be developing nuclear weapons. The “MOP,” the only “bunker buster” bomb believed capable of penetrating Fordo, does not need to destroy the facility in one go, according to the American war game scenario. In the show I say in the show Fordo is 800 meters underground, but most military analysts believe it’s approximately 80-90. However, the only man America works with who’s actually been in the facility claims it’s 800 meters, which is why I said that. MOP is believed to be able to penetrate roughly that deep, but may be a little short, as Stormy mentions. That, however, is not the problem.
America would not drop one MOP on Fordo and call it a day, the bomb drills down and then detonates while it’s underground. Therefore, the US would fly a mission with several bombers and drop a large number of MOPs on the site, penetrating deeper and deeper with each bomb. In other words, it would be waves of attacks, one after the other. The problem is not what Stormy made it out to be on the show - that we can’t penetrate deep enough. The problem is that we’d have to fly a mission with multiple bombers and support aircraft deep into enemy territory during a hot war over their most heavily guarded facility, and this mission would require a number of precision drops. Furthermore, the support aircraft would be F35s, which as Pete said, have not been war-gaming flights over Iran. If this sounds like the Star Wars mission to destroy the Death Star, that isn’t a coincidence. That’s the level of fantasy we are operating on here, Luke Skywalker is going to fly a B2 over Iran and use The Force to guide it into their bunker, thereby saving Israel - “the good guys” - and thereby humanity, forever.
What the US military HAS been war gaming for the last several years is arctic missions in the far north; Alaska, Canada, and above the arctic circle. Why do you think that is? WW3 is sadly a possibility we are preparing for.
Which brings me to my next point of clarification: the nuclear blower plant on the Persian Gulf Stormy mentioned, Bushehr. It is manned by a team of several-hundred Russians. Stormy mention that Israel hit it repeatedly with missiles. This is not the case, there was a report in Reuters that the Russian staff reported back to Russia that missiles and bombs were falling all around the facility, and that perhaps one had hit the facility. Israel was made aware of these reports and a spokesman said the facility was hit once and little to no damage was done, and then changed his report and said it was not hit. Israel has explicit orders NOT to hit the facility, and Russia only evacuated a small number of staff. There are still enough remaining to run the facility.
Next, much was made on the show about how Israel is going to run out of interceptor missiles to stave off Iranian attacks. Well, that is not what it appears either. Currently, America is flying jets over Israel to shoot down drones and firing missiles off of naval vessels in the Mediterranean to intercept Iranian barrages. The brinkmanship here is whether or not Iran will run out of missiles before Israel runs out of interceptors (I’m using this as a catch all term that includes, but is not limited to, the Iron Dome, which is only one part of Israel’s network of protective measures against bombings and missile barrages). Currently, Israel is hitting Irans missile launchers so that their store of munitions is less important than their ability to deliver. So the implications of the store of munitions for either side is not as straightforward as it looks. Also, Israel is probably lying about how much it has in store.
Either way these sorts of reports came out at the outset of the Russian war with Ukraine and they ended up being completely meaningless. However, in that case, both countries fully mobilized for war AND the US and other countries sent munitions to Ukraine. None of that is the case with Israel-Iran, which is why we say America is not going to war. Mobilization takes a LONG time and we simply have not been doing so, if we were to fully mobilize, the amount of time it took would be so long conditions on the ground in the Middle East would be vastly different.
Which brings us to our last point of clarification: the “JIDF guy” Stormy kept mentioning. Tom Luongo hosted a Twitter space in which Stormy and a guy named Halsey English. English claims the Middle East powers all tacitly support regime change in Iran because they want peace and cooperation and currently Iran is the roadblock to that, and they would all allow Israel to overthrow the Iranian regime in the interest of regional alignment. Stormy’s point here in bringing up Bushehr was to say that if Israel is hitting a nuclear power plant that will destroy the regions water supply and contaminate the Gulf with radiation, the powers in the region absolutely do not want Israel to overthrow Iran and it absolutely is not in their best interest. However, as of the time we recorded this show, there is no credible reason to believe Israel is hitting Bushehr.
the exchange between Stormy and English begins roughly one hour and thirty minutes into the space and concludes roughly 30 minutes later. It’s very much worth listening to. English is telling the same lies about Iran that others like Bill Ackman told about Gaza. Stormy believes there is a list of talking points these people are given, and it looks like there is. Listen to English argue, and then consider this Bill Ackman tweets (they’re nearly verbatim):
And here is some footage of Tel Aviv getting hit
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